NFL 2009: Division Championship Round Playoff Predictions

21 Jan

Well, that's one way to fumble...

Four more quarters until the Superbowl. It must be really hard to concentrate for the players on any one of these teams. Hopefully, they won’t mess up though because to be honest these playoff games haven’t been all that exciting. In fact, if anything the games have been disappointing. But here’s hoping for the best. Last week, Greg went 3 and 1. Genesis went 2 and 2 and Andrew….wow… Andrew went 1 and 3. Everyone was surprised by the San Diego game, but there’s no excuse for only one correct prediction. Andrew leads, but shouldn’t be, with 68 and 36, Greg is closing in with 67 and 37, and Genesis is 65 and 39.

Sunday, Jan. 24th 3:00 PM:

New York Jets AT Indianapolis Colts – It is often said that Offenses bring in money and Defenses win championships. Well, this game will be a great litmus test for that theory.  The Colts don’t have the best offense but have the league’s MVP at quarterback and won their first 14 games before pulling their starters and losing the remaining two games. The first of the two losses was against the New York Jets when Jim Cadwell pulled Peyton Manning and the rest of the starters with a 15-10 lead and 5:36 remaining in the third quarter. After that point, the Jets outscored the Colts 19-0. Even with Peyton Manning in, the Jets were able to hold the Colts to a season low 2 of 11 on third down conversions. Even though the Colts argued that it was more important to save their starters for more important games, the Colts allowed the Jets to begin their improbable run into and through the playoffs and now the Colts have to face the tough Jets defense once again.

The playoff games leading up to this one seem to have been a good preview for each team. The Colts took on the defense heavy and run oriented Baltimore Ravens only to rout the Ravens 20 to 3. The Jets took down both the Cincinnati Bengals and the San Diego Chargers, teams both known for the offenses more than their defenses. Coming into this game, the Jets have shown that they are confident and don’t mind being on the road. The Colts showed that they can control the clock, allowing Baltimore to hold the ball for less than 4 minutes in first half. The Colts defense also stepped up big, only allowing 9 yards in the second quarter and holding Ray Rice to only 67 yards. The Jets, more known for the best defense in the league, also have the quarterback with the highest total playoff rating as well as the highest playoff rating in a single game in NFL history…. among rookies. But still that’s saying something.

Andrew’s pick – Indianapolis Colts. This pick isn’t a shot against the Jets. I think Mark Sanchez is playing smart and efficient football, especially since they ask him to throw it less than 20 times but I think the Colts are the better team and they will slow the run game and cause some problems for Sanchez.

Greg’s Pick – Indianapolis Colts. I can’t believe I’ll be rooting for the NFC this year. If you read our previous picks, you saw I picked against the Colts every week but one. While I would usually talk trash against the Jets. Well I STILL don’t believe in the Jets. Rex Ryan is stubborn, and will not change his defense, he believes his defense and team is the best there. Peyton loves to watch film, and will watch probably every game the Jets have played – once he diagnoses the defense pre-snap – he will pick them apart (just don’t throw at Revis). The Colts should win this game in the 2nd half.

Gen’s pick – Indianapolis Colts. Ew, why is everyone’s explanations so long? The reason is simple, when the Colts and Jets last met in the regular season, the Colts were doing well against the Jets with a 9 – 3 lead going into the half. Then as soon as the starters well rested and the colts decided to put in a Painter, the Jets outscored the crap out of the Colts. So although the Jets defense have been strong as of late, I’m sure the well performing starters of the Colts offense can get points up on the board. Let’s just make sure Donald Brown doesn’t screw things up.

Hey Hoi Polloi, tired of our picks? Why don’t you try your hand at it…

Sunday, Jan. 24th 6:30 PM:

Minnesota Vikings AT New Orleans Saints – The Saints average the most points scored per game in the NFL with 31. 9. The Vikings averaged 29.4 points per game, the second highest in the league. These two high-powered offenses are led by Drew Brees and Brett Farve. During the regular season Brees has 34 touchdowns (the most in the league) and Brett Farve had 33 (second highest, tied with Peyton Manning). Drew Brees also had the highest quarterback rating with 109.6 and Farve was right behind in second with quarterback rating of 107.2. Both quarterbacks have the time they need to throw the deep balls as well as the weapons necessary to spread the ball around.

It’s not just offense for these teams either.  The Vikings held the explosive Dallas offense (ranked number two during the regular season) to a season-low 248 total yards and only 3 points, the lowest amount of points since 2004. On the other hand, the Saints defense held Arizona, the team that won the highest scoring post-season game in NFL history, to just 14 points. Kurt Warner and the offense were just 1 for 8 on third downs. Not to mention the noise levels inside the superdome for the opposing offense are off the charts. The playoff win at home was so easy for the Saints that Head Coach Sean Payton starting pulling starts early in the fourth quarter.

Andew’s pick – Minnesota Vikings. I really think this game could go either way. The Saints are at home and proved that their offense was still in high gear against the beat up Cardinals defense. I think the Vikings are the more complete team but this game is definitely going to be difficult for them on the road. I just want an entertaining game.

Greg’s Pick – Minnesota Vikings. I am really torn about this game. The Saints have shown how dominant they are at home. But old man Favre might have proved his worth last week. It is huge for the Vikings to get things going quickly. Take the crowd and the defense out of it. The Saints defense feeds off of their offense – when they play well, the defense turns up the intensity and the Saints are an unstoppable force. However, if down, the Saints defense plays conservative and gets beat. This game is going to be a good one. Vikings in a squeaker.

Gen’s pick – New Orleans Saints. This is how I feel. As much as I want to believe in the Favre hype, which I do, and how much I want him to win a Super Bowl, which I do – I was just way too impressed with the Saints performance last Saturday. Yes, the Arizona defense isn’t amazing and Reggie Bush showed that by becoming a pinball and bouncing off of random defenders and teammates. All I ask for is that this game be as exciting as that Green Bay/Arizona game. But I’ve had faith in the Saints this entire season. Not reason why I should change my pick now.

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6 Responses to “NFL 2009: Division Championship Round Playoff Predictions”

  1. EB January 21, 2010 at 11:28 am #

    Worst set of predictions I’ve ever seen.

  2. EB January 21, 2010 at 11:29 am #

    No one picked the J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS? They’ve got swagger and Sanchize looks like Mick Jagger. Plus, COLTS (-8) is a hot bet: I smell upset.

    • Ryan January 21, 2010 at 12:18 pm #

      And we all know how amazing Sanchez is. How does he manage to average 12 completions AND 141 yards at the same time?

  3. mervdiddy January 21, 2010 at 11:45 am #

    Greg, you are very wise.

    /Vikings fan.

  4. lduthecoach January 22, 2010 at 12:38 am #

    The majority of people are taking the Colts to kill the Jets this week but you have to consider how well New York matches up against Indy. Indy has the worst running game in the league, and is ALL Peyton. The Jets have the #1 pass-defence and if they can put the clamps on Peyton early… it could very well be a Jets win. TheCoach isn’t calling a J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS win but they will cover the spread. I know Indy shut down Baltimore’s running game last week but the Jets strive on being quick and elusive.. something Ray Rice isn’t…

    Minnesota and New Orleans is going to be such a good game. I was hoping all season long these two would meet up in the NFC Championship and honestly.. either team could team this game. The Saints are -3.0 favourites and historically home team get given three points for the home-field advantage… so basically this game is a pick-em and there is ONE thing that I like about the Saints and its that home-field advantage. Last week Warner and Romo combined for 7 sacks and 4 fumbles largely in part to not being able to communicate with their offence. The SuperDome is NUTS and I don’t care how much experience Favre has, the crowd can help a team and also hurt the other so much.

    Feel free to check out my picks with scores (and of course cheerleader pictures) @ http://www.lionsdenu.com/category/sports/nfl-guide-2009-2010/

    Best of luck to all this week,
    Regards,
    TheCoach

  5. Diggs January 22, 2010 at 1:20 pm #

    I heard that guy Andrew is hot

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